Minnesota Duluth
W-L: (21-13) PR = 97.7492Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 919 A Mercyhurst L (21-11, 96.1) 4- 3 920 A Mercyhurst L (21-11, 96.1) 5- 3 925 A Syracuse L (16-17, 94.8) 4- 0 926 A Syracuse L (16-17, 94.8) 4- 0 1011 A Wisconsin HA (30- 6, 99.8) 3- 4 1012 A Wisconsin HA (30- 6, 99.8) 0- 4 1017 H Minnesota State HA (18-19, 96.6) 5- 0 1018 H Minnesota State HA (18-19, 96.6) 3- 1 1024 H Minnesota HA (24-12, 98.4) 0- 4 1025 H Minnesota HA (24-12, 98.4) 2- 3 1031 A St. Cloud State HA (11-24, 96.6) 5- 3 1101 A St. Cloud State HA (11-24, 96.6) 3- 2 1114 A St. Thomas HA (12-23, 96.2) 3- 1 1115 A St. Thomas HA (12-23, 96.2) 4- 2 1121 H Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 3 1122 H Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 4 1205 A Bemidji State HA ( 7-25, 95.1) 4- 1 1206 A Bemidji State HA ( 7-25, 95.1) 4- 0 102 A Harvard AC (16-15, 95.8) 2- 3 103 H Quinnipiac AC (28- 8, 97.7) 1- 3 109 H Wisconsin HA (30- 6, 99.8) 1- 1 110 H Wisconsin HA (30- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 116 H St. Cloud State HA (11-24, 96.6) 2- 2 117 H St. Cloud State HA (11-24, 96.6) 2- 5 123 A Minnesota State HA (18-19, 96.6) 124 A Minnesota State HA (18-19, 96.6) 3- 0 130 A Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 2- 6 131 A Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 3 206 H Bemidji State HA ( 7-25, 95.1) 3- 2 207 H Bemidji State HA ( 7-25, 95.1) 5- 0 213 H St. Thomas HA (12-23, 96.2) 3- 0 214 H St. Thomas HA (12-23, 96.2) 3- 0 220 A Minnesota HA (24-12, 98.4) 3- 2 221 A Minnesota HA (24-12, 98.4) 2- 1 227 H Minnesota State HA (18-19, 96.6) 2- 0 228 H Minnesota State HA (18-19, 96.6) 3- 2 301 H Minnesota State HA (18-19, 96.6) 1- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
919 A Mercyhurst 4- 3 1 1 -0.23
920 A Mercyhurst 5- 3 2 1 0.77
925 A Syracuse 4- 0 4 3 1.44
926 A Syracuse 4- 0 4 3 1.44
1011 A Wisconsin 3- 4 -1 -2 1.44
1012 A Wisconsin 0- 4 -4 -2 -1.56
1017 H Minnesota State 5- 0 5 2 + 3.49
1018 H Minnesota State 3- 1 2 2 0.49
1024 H Minnesota 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.77
1025 H Minnesota 2- 3 -1 0 -0.77
1031 A St. Cloud State 5- 3 2 1 1.22
1101 A St. Cloud State 3- 2 1 1 0.22
1114 A St. Thomas 3- 1 2 1 0.86
1115 A St. Thomas 4- 2 2 1 0.86
1121 H Ohio State 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.23
1122 H Ohio State 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.23
1205 A Bemidji State 4- 1 3 2 0.73
1206 A Bemidji State 4- 0 4 2 1.73
102 A Harvard 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.54
103 H Quinnipiac 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.45
109 H Wisconsin 1- 1 0 -2 1.66
110 H Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.34
116 H St. Cloud State 2- 2 0 2 -1.55
117 H St. Cloud State 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.55
124 A Minnesota State 3- 0 3 1 + 2.26
130 A Ohio State 2- 6 -4 -3 -1.46
131 A Ohio State 1- 3 -2 -3 0.54
206 H Bemidji State 3- 2 1 3 - -2.04
207 H Bemidji State 5- 0 5 3 1.96
213 H St. Thomas 3- 0 3 2 1.09
214 H St. Thomas 3- 0 3 2 1.09
220 A Minnesota 3- 2 1 -1 2.00
221 A Minnesota 2- 1 1 -1 2.00
227 H Minnesota State 2- 0 2 2 0.49
228 H Minnesota State 3- 2 1 2 -0.51
301 H Minnesota State 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.51
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 117 H St. Cloud State 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.55 1024 H Minnesota 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.77 102 A Harvard 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.54 103 H Quinnipiac 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.45 110 H Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.34 206 H Bemidji State 3- 2 1 3 - -2.04 301 H Minnesota State 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1017 H Minnesota State 5- 0 5 2 + 3.49 124 A Minnesota State 3- 0 3 1 + 2.26 |
Minnesota Duluth Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lindenwood | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth 6- 1 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Mercyhurst | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| RIT | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Robert Morris | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth 3- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Syracuse | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| Brown | Brown | Brown 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Clarkson | Minnesota Duluth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Colgate | Colgate | Colgate 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cornell | Minnesota Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Dartmouth | Minnesota Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 1) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | ||
| RPI | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| St. Lawrence | Minnesota Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Union | Minnesota Duluth | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Yale | Minnesota Duluth | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Boston College | Minnesota Duluth | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Boston University | Minnesota Duluth | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 1) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Connecticut | Minnesota Duluth | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Holy Cross | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| Maine | Minnesota Duluth | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 3) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Merrimack | Minnesota Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| New Hampshire | Minnesota Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Northeastern | Minnesota Duluth | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Providence | Minnesota Duluth | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Vermont | Minnesota Duluth | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Assumption | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| Franklin Pierce | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| LIU | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| Post | Minnesota Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Sacred Heart | Minnesota Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Saint Anselm | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| St.Michael's | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| Stonehill | Minnesota Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Bemidji State | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 3) | Minnesota | |
| Minnesota State | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| St. Cloud State | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| St. Thomas | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin |
PowerWise = 35
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.18
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 4- 3 -3.77 4.17 0.39 1.00 9.15
0 A Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 5- 3 -3.77 4.17 0.39 1.00 9.15
0 A Syracuse (16-17, 94.8) 4- 0 -5.10 2.84 0.39 1.00 6.48
0 A Syracuse (16-17, 94.8) 4- 0 -5.10 2.84 0.39 1.00 6.48
0 A Wisconsin (30- 6, 99.8) 3- 4 -0.10 7.83 0.39 1.00 -0.14
0 A Wisconsin (30- 6, 99.8) 0- 4 -0.10 7.83 0.39 1.00 -0.14
0 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 5- 0 -3.27 4.66 -0.39 1.00 8.59
0 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 3- 1 -3.27 4.66 -0.39 1.00 8.59
0 H Minnesota (24-12, 98.4) 0- 4 -1.54 6.40 -0.39 1.00 -0.97
0 H Minnesota (24-12, 98.4) 2- 3 -1.54 6.40 -0.39 1.00 -0.97
0 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.6) 5- 3 -3.32 4.61 0.39 1.00 10.05
0 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.32 4.61 0.39 1.00 10.05
0 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 3- 1 -3.68 4.25 0.39 1.00 9.33
0 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 4- 2 -3.68 4.25 0.39 1.00 9.33
0 H Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 3 -0.00 7.93 -0.39 1.00 -0.19
0 H Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 4 -0.00 7.93 -0.39 1.00 -0.19
0 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.1) 4- 1 -4.81 3.12 0.39 1.00 7.05
0 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.1) 4- 0 -4.81 3.12 0.39 1.00 7.05
0 A Harvard (16-15, 95.8) 2- 3 -4.08 3.85 0.39 1.00 -1.86
0 H Quinnipiac (28- 8, 97.7) 1- 3 -2.22 5.71 -0.39 1.00 -1.31
0 H Wisconsin (30- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 -0.10 7.83 -0.39 1.00 -0.24
0 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.6) 2- 2 -3.32 4.61 -0.39 1.00 203.43
0 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.6) 2- 5 -3.32 4.61 -0.39 1.00 -1.86
0 A Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 3- 0 -3.27 4.66 0.39 1.00 10.14
0 A Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 2- 6 -0.00 7.93 0.39 1.00 -0.19
0 A Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 3 -0.00 7.93 0.39 1.00 -0.19
0 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.1) 3- 2 -4.81 3.12 -0.39 1.00 5.50
0 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.1) 5- 0 -4.81 3.12 -0.39 1.00 5.50
0 H St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 3- 0 -3.68 4.25 -0.39 1.00 7.78
0 H St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 3- 0 -3.68 4.25 -0.39 1.00 7.78
0 A Minnesota (24-12, 98.4) 3- 2 -1.54 6.40 0.39 1.00 13.63
0 A Minnesota (24-12, 98.4) 2- 1 -1.54 6.40 0.39 1.00 13.63
0 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 2- 0 -3.27 4.66 -0.39 1.00 8.59
0 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.27 4.66 -0.39 1.00 8.59
0 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 1- 2 -3.27 4.66 -0.39 1.00 -1.84
------
579.19
|
winning pts = 182.4208 losing points = -10.1021
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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